Seasoned RBA Watchers always look forward to speeches by Luci Ellis.
Although solid as rock when it comes to preserving the sacred myths and fables of modern neoliberal era central banking, there is often a touch of punk – a streak of violet hair – through the otherwise formulaic central banker monotone that seeks to encourage listeners to just “move along …nothing to see” and leave the grown up business of the economy to those that know best.
A Glass Pyramid favourite flash of ‘punk’ was Luci’s distillation of a new economic sensation “The Platypus Moment” back in 2011. The Platypus Moment is on a par with the legal principle coined by The Castle known as the ‘vibe’. The vibe has now become a term of art in many technical fields from neurosurgery to rocket science.
While the Platypus Moment is not quite so famous, the staff canteen at the Glass Pyramid is a known haunt of those delicate creatures who can detect a Platypus Moment as surely as a Jedi might detect a ripple in the force. Continue reading
There is a story running in the Australian Financial Review today by Phil Coorey suggesting that Mr Morrison is thinking about reducing or eliminating the CGT concession that has made residential property speculation such an attractive past time for oodles of higher income earners (and others just trying to ‘get ahead’) in Australia.
Believe it when you see it.
And if we do see it expect it to be served up with a large dollop of First Home buyer bonus, a side salad of foreign investor free for all and a large sprinkling of “open the gate” population ponzi. If Morrison cools the “well heeled” heels of the property speculators and tax dodgers he needs someone to replace them as props for house prices and therefore the Australian banking system. Continue reading
Everyone seems to be agreed that house prices in Australia are high …. very high…. nose bleed high …. international jet set standards high.
Sure there are a bunch of Bernard Salt types roaming the popular press insisting that if people stopped eating squashed tropical fruits and other fripperies they would be able to afford the unaffordable, but most understand that they are being paid as agents provocateur to “stir shit up” with smug prose and distract people from the real issues. Things like how our barbaric relic of a monetary and banking system for instance is ruining our economy.
But in all the column inches devoted to this topic very few discuss how housing prices might return to planet earth WITHOUT crashing the economy. Continue reading
If the Great Financial Crisis “GFC” (Australian for the Great Recession) taught us anything, and to date it appears not much has been learnt, it is that a solid understanding by the general public of what money is, how money is produced, and how it is managed or controlled after it has been produced, is of critical importance.
Until the broken and dysfunctional nature of our monetary system is understood by the general public (or at least a decent percentage of them) we have very little chance of addressing the issues that caused the GFC and are now leading us merrily down the path towards yet another period of financial system destabilisation and collapse and the politics of anxiety that accompanies economic distress and instability.
Over the soft tinkle of China and silverware, amidst the contented purrs as Peach Melba slid from hundreds of spoons, the Lucky Country Central Banker in Chief Governor Phil ‘Lucky’ Lowe cast a spell and reminded all assembled of the central myths of the Australian economy.
First were some helpful “TripAdvisor” tips on spotting some scenic Aussie wonders that a first time visitor might miss between Koala cuddles and feral rumbles with Skippy.
“……….You also find a country that is prosperous and wealthy; Australians enjoy a standard of living that relatively few people around the world enjoy. Continue reading
Minister for the Ring of Border Steel, Mr Peter Dutton gives excellent “Serious Sam” as he makes it clear that Winston Churchill had nothing on him when it comes to resisting unapproved seaborne arrivals.
No doubt the local kids knew that steering clear of Officer Dutton was in their best interests as the trusty prowl car circled donutshops in the QLD badlands. At least until Officer Dutton made the leap to politics and property investment.
With such gravitas it makes his failures to secure our airports all the more puzzling. If it wasn’t so outrageous one might be tempted to think he was, like some of his colleagues, distracted by the auction listings on realestate.com.au.
In recent years a number of enthusiastic groups, the “MacPru Crew”, have claimed that if only the RBA/APRA would fully embrace the doctrines of Macroprudential regulation, Australia could have a monetary policy magic pudding and eat it.
The theory works as follows:
- The $AUD is too popular and is trading too high and that is damaging the competitiveness of Australian exports and import competing industries.
- The only reason the $AUD is too high is because the target rate set by the RBA is too high and that is like leaving a chop on a plate outside an animal rescue shelter when it comes to international capital flows.
- By cutting the target rate $AUD fanciers will be encouraged to go elsewhere and the Australian economy can then thrive again with an exchange rate circa $0.50 – $0.60.
- Because a lower target rate and interest rates generally attract speculators, private equity, carpet baggers and other assorted shiny suits like “blowies”the banking regulators should use credit regulation (which is all MacroPru is) to limit credit access to ‘nice’ borrowers with approved wholesome intentions.
The first Tuesday of the month is the scheduled day for monetary policy twitchers to don their pin stripe camo and lurk expectantly on park benches in Upper Martin Place.
Their presence is easily identified by small piles of pigeon and ibis entrails – “it is very hard to get good entrails these days” is a common complaint heard. Continue reading
Here is DFATs fact sheet on US-Australia trade that demonstrates the great “dudness” of the FTA deal with the US signed by Howard back in the early 2000’s.
Trade – A whopping fat deficit on Australian exports – $20B on merchandise and $6B on services.
$26B in favour of the US in a single year! Continue reading